Russia - Still A Threat To The West?
As years pass, countries that have seemed fairly stable as far as having control of what they do, appear to be taking a step backwards from time to time.
And now we have a so-called 1st world country, Russia, invading a lesser country, Georgia. They have the armaments to do so.

America - A Future Threat To Anyone?
Just as Russia has military strength, and apparently the will to violate another country's sovereignty, so, we have the United States. Certainly if any country has military strength, the US does.
Question is, what will the US leaders of the future do with that military strength?
Right now it seems that the agenda is to maintain the failing oil-based economy, and it is likely that this will continue, with more invasions where 'appropriate', and maybe some annexing of friendly countries if those countries fail to join in the 'trading area' type organizations that the US government creates from time to time, such as NAFTA, or the American Union or whatever the next flavor of the month is.

The Old Methods Won't Work This Time Around
I would say that with current and future acceleration of dwindling global resources, and in particular dwindling oil, in the future there has to be more focus on methods of human continuance, rather than the wasting of resources in wars or cold wars. The true world leading country will be the one that can sustain it's population within it's own boundaries, in the same manner that Cuba has apparently been so successful in doing since the Soviet collapse. I don't know if USA can successfully withstand such changes, as they currently seem to be run like an ostrich with its head in the sand. It will be interesting to see how they adapt if that is what they do, or to see the reaction as they fail sustaining, and shrink like the Romans and British Empires before them. The world might soon get to be a very dangerous place, with a leading military power having a failing economy - can this situation be compared to that of Germany in the 1930's? Probably not, as Hitler was a single constant that allowed policies, however autocratic, to be implemented over a period of years, and just as Cuban policies of universal health care and education can be seen to fruition by having long term strategies, So in the same manner could Hitler's policies for death and destruction be implemented. America lacks that long term policy advantage in getting anything done that is constructive for advantageous change.

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